Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday


	Luckenwalde		Lichtenberg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	3.9
	1.58	3.95	4.7
	1.69	4	4
	1.67	3.96	4.87
	1.66	4.15	4.4
	1.7	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)	4.01 ↑ (3.65)	4.31 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
55.7%

Draw
23%

Lichtenberg
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luckenwalde's performance.

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Luckenwalde - Lichtenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Luckenwalde will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lichtenberg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luckenwalde: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation)).

Recent matches Luckenwalde is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lichtenberg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Luckenwalde is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Luckenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.09.22	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Altglienicke - Luckenwalde	2:2 ✺
19.08.22	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Energie Cottbus - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
05.08.22	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTLT
- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.09.22	Lichtenberg - Altglienicke	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Chemie Leipzig - Lichtenberg	3:2 ✺
21.08.22	Lichtenberg - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lichtenberg	5:0 ✺
05.08.22	Lichtenberg - Germania Halberstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
20.02.22	Luckenwalde - Lichtenberg	4:1
20.08.21	Lichtenberg - Luckenwalde	0:3
Club Friendly
08.02.19	Lichtenberg - Luckenwalde	4:1
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
14.03.15	Lichtenberg - Luckenwalde	1:1

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