Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 26

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lucksta		Frösö

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.75	7
	1.08	9	19
	1.17	8.23	6.92
	1.17	8.39	8.89
	1.09	8.8	15.5
	1.08	9	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.4)	8.2 ↑ (4.75)	12.72 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucksta
81.4%

Draw
11.3%

Frösö
7.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65%

19.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

18.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucksta's performance.

Frösö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frösö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucksta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frösö than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frösö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucksta - Frösö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Frösö is Relegated to

Lucksta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frösö is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frösö could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lucksta is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucksta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.10.24	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Lucksta - Skellefteå FF	3:4 ✺
28.09.24	Kiruna - Lucksta	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Täfteå - Lucksta	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Lucksta - Gottne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Frösö IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.10.24	Frösö - Gottne	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	IFK Östersunds - Frösö	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Frösö - Ytterhogdal	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Boden - Frösö	5:0 ✺
14.09.24	Frösö - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.06.24	Frösö - Lucksta	6:2

Lucksta - Frösö