Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Kiruna		Lucksta

	1	X	2
	2.61	3.75	2.25
	1.67	4.08	4.18	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.31
	2.03	3.74	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	2.92 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiruna
42.3%

Draw
25.1%

Lucksta
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

24%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiruna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Kiruna - Lucksta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Bawa Samba W. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Tewelde S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Nuur H. ⚽,

Preview

Kiruna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Lucksta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lucksta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kiruna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kiruna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kiruna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
05.10.25	Boden City - Kiruna	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	4:4 ✺
20.09.25	Boden - Kiruna	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Kiruna - Täfteå	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLTL
- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.25	Lucksta - Boden City	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Lucksta - Täfteå	1:3 ✺
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1
28.09.24	Kiruna - Lucksta	2:0
08.06.24	Lucksta - Kiruna	1:0

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