Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre (Razgrad)


	Ludogorets II		Chernomorets Burgas

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	3.05
	1.96	3.71	3.11
	1.86	3.50	3.72	Watch
	1.96	3.54	3.28	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	3.33 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
47.3%

Draw
25.5%

Chernomorets Burgas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets II's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Burgas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Hristov D. (G) 76. Dimitrov K. 90. Kirev P. 59. Lukanov A. 34. Nikolov N. 81. Penev G. 32. Pipa 25. Rodriguez E. 42. Shishkov S. 75. Syrov E. 82. Yordanov I.	1. Todorov D. (G) 4. Avramov D. 13. Correia 3. Drame Y. 21. Esuma F. 7. Hyusein H. 10. Kostadinov D. 27. Mitev H. 66. Staykov G. 87. Traykov S. 17. Tsonev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
36', 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
62', 🟨,
63', (Pen),
70', 3 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chernomorets Burgas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ludogorets II is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.10.25	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Ludogorets II - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Fratria - Ludogorets II	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTL
- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	0:5 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	1:1
23.11.23	Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1

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