Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.26	1.39
	7.02	4.31	1.4
	6.93	4.4	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (3.71)	4.32 ↑ (3.5)	1.39 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
13.4%

Draw
21.1%

Ludogorets II
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.2%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nesebar's form might have worsened.

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nesebar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludogorets II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nesebar - Ludogorets II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 15. Dalev K. 5. Dimov P. 9. Gelin N. 13. Ivanov D. 27. Kostov N. (C) 8. Kunev V. 99. Parashkevov K. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. 10. Velinov S.	67. Hristov D. (C) 58. Iliev D. 72. Ivanov R. 74. Kelyovluev H. 35. Kirev P. 40. Marinov A. 29. Nikolov N. 63. Pemperski A. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 70. Todorov N.
Substitutes
14. Balinov D. 20. Gavov N. 16. Georgiev H. 91. Hristov V. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 19. Kozhevnikov O. 21. Minev A. 7. Slivov V. 17. Uzunov A.	76. Dimitrov K. 81. Georgiev D. 68. Habil U. (G) 62. Ivanov D. 66. Karaangelov P. 59. Lukanov A. 75. Surov E. 98. Yanev N. 93. Yordanov Y.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.09.24	Nesebar - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:5 ✺
07.09.24	Spartak Pleven - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Nesebar - CSKA Sofia II	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Fratria - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Nesebar - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
14.09.24	Ludogorets II - Spartak Pleven	3:2 ✺
02.09.24	Ludogorets II - Fratria	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportist Svoge - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Ludogorets II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Lovech - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.12.18	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	4:1
29.07.18	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	4:2
04.03.18	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	0:2
13.08.17	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	3:1
03.04.17	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	3:0

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