Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Ludogorets II		Septemvri Simitli

	1	X	2
	1.59	5	3.55
	1.22	4.83	7.5
	1.24	5.95	8.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.82)	5.26 ↑ (3.82)	6.65 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
68.5%

Draw
17.6%

Septemvri Simitli
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets II's performance.

Septemvri Simitli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Septemvri Simitli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Septemvri Simitli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	12.5%	18.7%

Ludogorets II - Septemvri Simitli Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ludogorets II will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Septemvri Simitli will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets II: 46.1% – 91.5%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ludogorets II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.05.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
04.05.22	Ludogorets II - Marek Dupnitsa	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Ludogorets II	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Ludogorets II - Lovech	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT
- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.05.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Simitli	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Septemvri Simitli - Lovech	1:2 ✺
21.04.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Simitli	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Septemvri Simitli - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:4 ✺
10.04.22	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Simitli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.11.21	Septemvri Simitli - Ludogorets II	2:1
19.04.21	Septemvri Simitli - Ludogorets II	1:1
26.10.20	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Simitli	4:1

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