Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.6	3.75	2	Watch
	3.49	3.8	2.13
	3.51	3.81	2.06
	3.38	3.65	2.03
	3.3	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4.09)	3.72 ↓ (3.91)	2.04 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
27.8%

Draw
25.6%

Fenerbahçe
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.7%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.6%	4.6%	90.8%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (79 of 87 users predict this - 90.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.73% – 96.87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sluga S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 24. Verdon O. 22. Russo F. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. 8. Goncalves C. 77. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 37. Tekpetey B.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 95. Akcicek Y. 24. Oosterwolde J. 7. Kadioglu F. 5. Yuksek I. 27. Crespo M. 26. Zajc M. 11. Kent R. 23. Batshuayi M. 10. Tadic D. (C)
Substitutes
11. Chouiar M. 90. Delev S. 44. Heister M. 67. Hristov D. (G) 88. Nedelev T. 1. Padt S. (G) 99. Rwan Seco 17. Son 26. Sundberg N. 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 64. Yankov D.	91. Akyazi K. 97. Akyuz F. O. (G) 29. Aydin A. N. 9. Dzeko E. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 49. Imre M. 17. Kahveci I. C. 92. Karayazi E. 22. Nayir U. 53. Szymanski S. 20. Under C.
Coaches
Dermendzhiev G.	Kartal I.

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Knee Injury) Gropper D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S. (Ankle Injury) Djiku A. (Broken Leg) Fred (Injury) King J. (Muscle Injury) Lincoln (Knee Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Muscle Injury) Yandas M. H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ludogorets: Heister M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
02.11.23	Slavia Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.10.23	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLT
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
04.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Pendikspor - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:2 ✺
08.10.23	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1

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