What is the expert prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, April 15, 2026)

Match Info

efbet League - Round 30

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Arda (Kardzhali)

Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 5


	Arda Kardzhali		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.53	Watch
	5.9	3.65	1.55	Watch
	6.36	3.9	1.57
	6.72	3.85	1.53	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	6.14	3.67	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (4.48)	3.73 ↑ (3.38)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
14.9%

Draw
24.9%

Ludogorets Razgrad
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.3%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.4%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Kardzhali's form might have worsened.

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 93. Eboa F. 6. Krachunov P. 35. Velkovski D. 18. Huseynov C. 20. Yusein S. 10. Kovachev S. 39. Vutov A. 8. Kabov A. 30. Samake W.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 2. Andersson J. 15. Kurtulus E. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Stanic P. 18. Chochev I. 9. Duah K.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 4. Idowu D. 99. Karagaren B. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 24. Paskalev M. 17. Patrick Luan 11. Shinyashiki A. 21. Velev V. 23. Viyachki E.	4. Almeida D. 26. Kaloc F. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 12. Rwan Cruz 7. Salido Tajero A. 17. Son 37. Tekpetey B. 27. Vinicius Nogueira
Coaches
Tunchev A.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Velkovski D. ⚽, Kabov A. (A),
11', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
44', Duarte D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Yusein S. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
62', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
66', Stanic P. 🟨,
68', Duarte D. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
70', Andersson J. ↓, Son ↑,
73', Kabov A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
75', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
79', Vutov A. ↓, Velev V. ↑,
79', Samake W. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
80', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Viyachki E. ↑,
80', Pedro Naressi ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
90+3', Erick Marcus 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

Arda is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )

Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.

In recent matches, Arda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ludogorets is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).

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Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Ludogorets: 18.77%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ludogorets	30	17	9	4	57:20	37	60
7	Arda	30	12	8	10	33:27	6	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.04.26	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:4 ✺
16.03.26	Arda Kardzhali - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.03.26	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	2:3
26.05.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	2:2
09.05.25	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:1
04.12.24	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4
03.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	5:1
15.04.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	2:0
22.10.23	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0

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