Match Info

efbet League - Championship Group - Round 34

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Lyubomirov L. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.55	Watch
	1.73	3.66	5.12
	1.73	3.59	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.74	3.52	4.68	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.28)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	4.54 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
52.1%

Draw
27.2%

Levski Sofia
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levski Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levski Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Levski will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 64.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Ludogorets (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Ludogorets (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 3. Nedyalkov A. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 26. Kaloc F. 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Stanic P. 18. Chochev I. 29. Bile E.	78. Lukov M. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. 31. Serafimov N. 3. Maicon 18. Trdin G. 47. Bouras A. 22. Soula M. 10. Mitkov A. 95. Fabien K. 12. Sangare M.
Substitutes
9. Duah K. 1. Padt S. (G) 30. Pedro Naressi 81. Penev G. 7. Salido Tajero A. 42. Shishkov S. 75. Syrov E. 5. Terziev G. 82. Yordanov I.	45. Dugandzic M. 17. Everton Bala 71. Kamdem O. 99. Kirilov R. 70. Kostadinov G. 4. Makoun C. 11. Oko-Flex A. 9. Perea J. 92. Vutsov S. (G)
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Velazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Trdin G. 🟨,
37', Nachmias I. 🟨,
38', Mitkov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sangare M. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
60', Fabien K. ↓, Kirilov R. ↑,
60', Mitkov A. ↓, Everton Bala ↑,
65', Soula M. 🟨,
66', Bile E. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Perea J. ⚽, Everton Bala (A),
70', Neves A. 🟨,
71', Maicon 🟨,
77', Soula M. ↓, Oko-Flex A. ↑,
77', Kaloc F. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Duarte D. ⚽, Stanic P. (A),
83', Trdin G. ↓, Kostadinov G. ↑,
90+1', Erick Marcus ↓, Pedro Naressi ↑,

Preview

Levski is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 4.

Ludogorets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Levski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ludogorets is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Levski Sofia: 40.35% Ludogorets: 30.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21:4	17	25
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.05.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
21.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLL
- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.05.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.05.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1
05.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Cup
11.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Super Cup
03.02.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.09.25	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0
17.05.25	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2
03.05.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:1

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