Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.25	3.55	3.1
	2.27	3.45	2.95
	2.31	3.64	3.06
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.3	3.76	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)	3.56 ↑ (3.37)	3.04 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
41.9%

Draw
26.8%

Royal Antwerp
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

18.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royal Antwerp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.1%	16.3%	18.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 56 - 65.1%). Antwerp will win (votes: 16 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 55% – 75.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Ludogorets has a chance of round of 32 (48%), has a chance of round of 16 (17%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Antwerp has a chance of round of 32 (25%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ludogorets is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antwerp in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ludogorets will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.10.20	Ludogorets Razgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Dinamo Brest - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.09.20	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.09.20	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTW
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.10.20	Zulte Waregem - Royal Antwerp	1:3 ✺
02.10.20	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	4:1 ✺
25.09.20	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:3 ✺
20.09.20	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	2:2 ✺
13.09.20	Sint-Truidense - Royal Antwerp	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTW

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