Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Bellinzona		Basel II

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.50
	2.38	3.35	2.52
	2.49	3.65	2.53
	2.49	3.64	2.54	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2.38	3.82	2.58
	2.41	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.49)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
38.3%

Draw
25.8%

Basel II
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', (Penalty Awarded),
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Basel II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19:19	0	15
18	Bellinzona	10	1	2	7	7:22	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Bellinzona - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Cup
14.08.26	Rotkreuz - Bellinzona	4:1 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
01.08.26	Bellinzona - Bavois	0:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
15.05.26	Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	2:4 ✺
08.05.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
01.08.26	Kreuzlingen - Basel II	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Old Boys - Basel II	2:3 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
30.05.26	Brühl - Basel II	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Basel II - Vevey	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
12.10.19	Bellinzona - Basel II	1:3
11.11.18	Bellinzona - Basel II	0:0

Bellinzona - Basel II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide