Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lugano II		Lausanne II

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.9	1.93
	2.88	4.05	1.95
	2.85	4.38	1.88
	2.91	5.03	1.9	Watch
	2.9	3.9	1.91
	3.09	4.33	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)	4.27 ↓ (4.8)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
31.1%

Draw
21.2%

Lausanne II
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

19.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

19.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lausanne II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Lugano II - Lausanne II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Lugano II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lausanne II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugano II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lugano II	13	4	1	8	20:27	-7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano II - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
16.05.26	Schaffhausen - Lugano II	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	Lugano II - Grand-Saconnex	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Biel-Bienne - Lugano II	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Bavois - Lugano II	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Lugano II - Young Boys II	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLL
- Lausanne-Sport II
Swiss Promotion League
15.05.26	Lausanne II - Biel-Bienne	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Bavois - Lausanne II	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Lausanne II - Young Boys II	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Paradiso - Lausanne II	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Lausanne II - Basel II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
15.11.25	Lausanne II - Lugano II	2:0

Lugano II - Lausanne II