Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Centro sportivo Al Maglio (Canobbio)


	Lugano II		Delémont

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.35	3.6	2.55
	2.36	3.65	2.58
	2.42	3.76	2.59	Watch
	2.31	3.62	2.5
	2.35	3.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.95)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	2.54 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
38.8%

Draw
25.2%

Delémont
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano II's performance.

Delémont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Delémont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delémont than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Lugano II - Delémont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pseftis F. (G) 20. Gecaj A. 4. Shala L. 5. Dermaku D. 2. Plisko D. 11. Sbai Y. 14. Maccoppi A. (C) 17. Pizzagalli G. 10. Spinelli N. 16. Ryter Y. 15. Babic B.	1. Oberle S. (G) 7. Shala A. 15. Cesca M. (C) 25. Mader M. 26. Behrami V. 8. Coulibaly M. 18. Toure D. 10. Francois M. 22. Wyder D. 6. Coelho S. 19. Achour S.
Substitutes
19. Amirzade M. 9. D'Agostino G. 13. Gamba N. 18. Lechner D. 8. Morandi R. 22. Novaresi M. 12. Pomponio M. (G)	5. Alshikh M. 2. Baume R. 16. Gomis G. 3. Huber R. 14. Hushi F. 20. Joliat L. (G) 11. Opoku-Mensah T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Coelho S. 🟨,
41', Dermaku D. ↓, Amirzade M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gecaj A. ↓, Lechner D. ↑,
46', Sbai Y. ↓, Gamba N. ↑,
58', Coelho S. ↓, Alshikh M. ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Ryter Y. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
71', Plisko D. 🟨,
72', Ryter Y. ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Amirzade M. 🟨,
79', Toure D. ↓, Huber R. ↑,
79', Behrami V. ↓, Opoku-Mensah T. ↑,
86', Pseftis F. 🟨,
89', Wyder D. ↓, Baume R. ↑,
90+5', 🟥,
90+5', Gamba N. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Lugano II is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Delémont is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Delémont have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Including matches at home between the teams Lugano II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
19.10.24	Lugano II - Basel II	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Lugano II - Cham	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Grand-Saconnex - Lugano II	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Lugano II	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Lugano II - Luzern II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 LWTWW
- Delémont
Swiss Promotion League
19.10.24	Bulle - Delémont	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kriens - Delémont	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Paradiso - Delémont	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Delémont - Basel II	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Bavois - Delémont	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
13.04.24	Lugano II - Delémont	3:0

Lugano II - Delémont: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide