Match Info
Promotion LeagueDate: 9 May 2026, Saturday
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Lugano II |
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Grand-Saconnex |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.7 |
3.7 |
1.73 |
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3.8 |
3.75 |
1.72 |
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3.86 |
3.87 |
1.74 |
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3.98 |
3.81 |
1.8 |
 Watch |
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3.8 |
3.6 |
1.75 |
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3.89 |
3.8 |
1.72 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(2.91) |
3.76 ↓
(3.78) |
1.74 ↓
(2.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugano II
23.7% | Draw
24.2% | Grand-Saconnex
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano II's form might have worsened.Grand-Saconnex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grand-Saconnex's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grand-Saconnex than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grand-Saconnex, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Lugano II - Grand Saconnex Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Regillo M. ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Abbas A. ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 3, Matuvunu B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Grand-Saconnex is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 18 |
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| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 9 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Lugano II - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Swiss Promotion League | | | 01.11.25 | Grand-Saconnex - Lugano II | 2:3 | | 05.04.25 | Lugano II - Grand-Saconnex | 3:0 | | 28.09.24 | Grand-Saconnex - Lugano II | 1:1 |
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