Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Lugano II		Zurich II

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.5	2.2
	2.81	3.6	2.34
	2.72	3.78	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.75	3.42	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
33.4%

Draw
26%

Zurich II
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

24.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

24.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Zurich II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zurich II than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Lugano II - Zurich II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zurich II	10	4	2	4	18:18	0	14
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15:22	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano II - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Zurich II - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
02.04.26	Bulle - Lugano II	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Luzern II - Lugano II	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lugano II - Brühl	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Vevey - Lugano II	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- Zurich II
Swiss Promotion League
04.04.26	Zurich II - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Zurich II - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Bavois - Zurich II	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Zurich II - Young Boys II	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Paradiso - Zurich II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
14.09.25	Zurich II - Lugano II	1:2
15.03.25	Lugano II - Zurich II	0:1
17.09.24	Zurich II - Lugano II	3:0
26.11.23	Lugano II - Zurich II	1:0
05.08.23	Zurich II - Lugano II	1:1
Club Friendly
26.01.23	Lugano II - Zurich II	1:4

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