Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Luzern II		Lugano II

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.25	3.8
	1.64	4.77	3.97
	1.66	4.74	3.9	Watch
	1.62	4.2	3.8
	1.6	4.45	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	4.48 ↓ (4.67)	3.89 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern II
56.1%

Draw
20.4%

Lugano II
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

19.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

19.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Luzern II - Lugano II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Luzern II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugano II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luzern II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luzern II is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luzern II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Luzern II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15:22	-7	9
17	Luzern II	10	2	1	7	15:19	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
11.03.26	Bulle - Luzern II	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Luzern II - Bavois	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Young Boys II - Luzern II	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Luzern II - Paradiso	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Basel II - Luzern II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
15.03.26	Lugano II - Brühl	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Vevey - Lugano II	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Kriens - Lugano II	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Lugano II - Cham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
17.09.25	Lugano II - Luzern II	2:2
21.09.24	Lugano II - Luzern II	1:0
25.05.24	Lugano II - Luzern II	1:2
18.11.23	Luzern II - Lugano II	4:4

Luzern II - Lugano II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide