Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Lugo B		Barco

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.05	3.9
	1.93	3.07	4.20	Watch
	1.94	3.1	3.84
	1.92	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.95 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo B
47.5%

Draw
29.4%

Barco
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barco than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Lugo B - Barco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Lugo B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Barco has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lugo B is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Somozas - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lugo B - Montañeros	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWT
- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Silva SD - Barco	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Barco - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Barco - Boiro	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Barco - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Lugo B - Barco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide