Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Lugo B		Silva SD

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.35	4.55
	1.77	3.41	4.48	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4.52
	1.53	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	4.79 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo B
54.8%

Draw
25.9%

Silva SD
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Silva SD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Lugo B - Silva SD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Alonso R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, Parafita R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Silva SD is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lugo B is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Céltiga - Lugo B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lugo B - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Boiro - Lugo B	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lugo B - Barco	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTL
- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Silva SD - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Silva SD - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Céltiga - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Silva SD - Juventud Cambados	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Boiro - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Lugo B - Silva SD: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide