Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Relegation - Final

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Klostergardens Idrottsplats (Lund)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Expressen


	Lunds		Östersund

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.94	3.48	2.29	Watch
	3.11	3.41	2.33
	3.04	3.31	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.2
	3.03	3.4	2.27
	2.94	3.48	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.44)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	2.28 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lunds
31.5%

Draw
27.6%

Östersund
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

25.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Lunds - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lunds will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Östersund will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lunds: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Sarr L. (G) 5. Andersson J. 31. Ekblom V. 4. Larsson K. 13. Maarouf S. 16. Olofsson D. 9. Olsson L. 77. Tipura S. 10. Tran E. 2. Velickovic B. 6. Zetterberg E. (C)	12. Benediktsson A. (G) 28. Adjoumani Y. 18. Bonde P. 8. Erick Brendon 6. Hedenquist J. 15. Hopcutt J. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 10. Marklund S. 3. N’sa C. 16. Sporrong A. 23. Suljic A. (C)
Substitutes
1. Alexandersson A. (G) 17. Lindfors S. 12. Lindquist E. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 19. Persson E. 23. Thellsson C. W. I.	22. Bonnah A. 27. Ghanoum Z. 21. Kroon S. 24. Norrby H. 14. Ordonez A. 77. Origi A. (G) 7. Perry N.
Coaches
Kontinen J.	Gabrielsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, N’sa C. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Sporrong A. ⚽,
44', Ekblom V. 🟨,
44', Adjoumani Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olofsson D. ↓, Nilsson A. ↑,
51', Andersson J. 🟨,
59', Maarouf S. 🟨,
65', Hopcutt J. ↓, Perry N. ↑,
65', Ekblom V. ↓, Persson E. ↑,
65', Olsson L. ↓, Thellsson C. W. I. ↑,
76', Erick Brendon ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
77', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Kroon S. ↑,
77', Marklund S. ↓, Norrby H. ↑,
82', N’sa C. ↓, Ghanoum Z. ↑,
90+2', Bonde P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.11.24	Lunds - Norrby	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Torslanda - Lunds	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Lunds - Ljungskile	4:2 ✺
12.10.24	Eskilsminne - Lunds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLWL
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
09.11.24	Östersund - Brage	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Örgryte - Östersund	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Utsikten - Östersund	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Östersund - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sandviken - Östersund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLWL

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