Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Luparense		Conegliano

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Luparense
39%

Draw
27.7%

Conegliano
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Conegliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conegliano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent performances by Luparense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Conegliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
30.11.25	Mestre - Luparense	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Luparense - Obermais	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Luigi - Luparense	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Luparense - Treviso	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Altavilla - Luparense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLL
- Conegliano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
30.11.25	Conegliano - Treviso	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Union Clodiense - Conegliano	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Conegliano - Legnago Salus	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Calvi Noale - Conegliano	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Conegliano - Brian Lignano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTWLW

Luparense - Conegliano