Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Luparense		Treviso

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.2	2.05
	3.04	3.31	2.17	Watch
	3.13	3.2	2.13
	3.05	3.25	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
29.4%

Draw
28%

Treviso
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.1%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Luparense aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Luparense - Treviso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Treviso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Luparense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Treviso is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Treviso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Luparense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Luparense - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.11.25	Altavilla - Luparense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Legnago Salus - Luparense	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Luparense - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Brian Lignano - Luparense	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL
- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.11.25	Treviso - Cjarlins Muzane	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Union Clodiense - Treviso	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Treviso - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Treviso - Brian Lignano	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Bassano Virtus - Treviso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
19.01.25	Treviso - Luparense	2:1
22.09.24	Luparense - Treviso	3:1
03.12.23	Treviso - Luparense	2:1

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