Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Lusail City		Al-Arabi Doha

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.63
	4.4	3.85	1.6
	4.03	3.98	1.63
	4.7	3.9	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.67)	3.87 ↓ (3.88)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusail City
20.9%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Arabi Doha
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

23%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

23.3%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusail City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusail City's performance.

Al-Arabi Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Arabi Doha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusail City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusail City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Arabi Doha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lusail City - Al Arabi Doha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Lusail City in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Arabi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Arabi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Arabi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusail City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusail City FC
Qatar QFA Cup
04.05.22	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	0:2 ✺
28.04.22	Lusail City - Al Bidda	1:0 ✺
19.04.22	Lusail City - Al-Mesaimeer	0:0 ✺
14.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	1:3 ✺
09.04.22	Lusail City - Qatar SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWTWW
- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QFA Cup
04.05.22	Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha	1:2 penalties ✺
29.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Qatar SC	4:1 ✺
19.04.22	Al-Khor - Al-Arabi Doha	2:3 ✺
14.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QFA Cup
14.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	1:3

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