Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Klani IM, RTSH Sport
World	FIFA+


	Lushnja		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.05	2.18
	3.73	3.26	1.84
	3.41	3.17	2.04	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	3.95	3.1	1.9
	3.75	3.14	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	1.95 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lushnja
24.9%

Draw
28.8%

Besa Kavajë
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lushnja's form might have worsened.

Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Besa Kavajë's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lushnja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lushnja - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Besa Kavajë will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,
86', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation) and 9 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lushnja won 2.

Lushnja is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Besa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lushnja has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lushnja won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lushnja won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
07.12.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Lushnja	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Lushnja - Kukësi	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	4:3 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.11.25	Laçi - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
08.12.25	Besa Kavajë - Burreli	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Korabi Peshkopi	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
26.09.25	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	1:1
17.12.24	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	1:0
21.09.24	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	0:0
21.04.24	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	2:0
27.11.23	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	2:1
13.09.23	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	4:3
01.04.23	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	2:1

Lushnja - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide