Match Info

ALBANIA: FIRST DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Lushnja		Vora

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.15
	1.62	3.92	4.45
	2.95	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.27)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lushnja
39%

Draw
27.4%

Vora
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lushnja's performance.

Vora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lushnja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vora than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Lushnja - Vora Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lushnja will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lushnja: 71.4% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Raboshta J. (Pen),
21', 0 - 2, Qardaku E. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Canka M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 2 - 2, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Canka M. ⚽,
82', 4 - 2, Leroux M. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, Xhabrahimi A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vora will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lushnja won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lushnja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
16.03.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Korabi Peshkopi - Lushnja	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lushnja - Vora	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Kastrioti - Lushnja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLWT
- FK Vora
Albanian First Division
16.03.24	Vora - Kastrioti	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Burreli - Vora	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Vora - Besa Kavajë	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lushnja - Vora	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Korabi Peshkopi - Vora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
18.02.24	Lushnja - Vora	2:1
06.11.23	Vora - Lushnja	2:2
23.04.22	Vora - Lushnja	3:3

Lushnja - Vora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide