Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Lushnja

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.35	5.7
	1.37	4.46	6.98	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5.62
	1.36	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.93)	4.4 ↑ (3.5)	6.16 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
64.8%

Draw
20.6%

Lushnja
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kastrioti's performance.

Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lushnja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastrioti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lushnja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kastrioti - Lushnja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Shamsaldin A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Canka M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.

In recent matches, Kastrioti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lushnja's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kastrioti is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Burreli - Kastrioti	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Kastrioti - Laçi	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLTW
- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
14.12.25	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Lushnja	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Lushnja - Kukësi	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	4:3 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:2
15.02.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	1:0
11.09.24	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1
04.05.24	Lushnja - Kastrioti	0:0
11.02.24	Kastrioti - Lushnja	1:1
29.10.23	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:1
Albanian Super League
09.02.14	Lushnja - Kastrioti	0:0

Kastrioti - Lushnja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide