Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Ferreiras

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6
	1.62	3.41	6.29
	1.46	3.9	6.65
	1.48	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.72 ↓ (3.89)	6.29 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
60.8%

Draw
24.7%

Ferreiras
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

20.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ferreiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano GC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferreiras than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferreiras is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lusitano GC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lusitano GC is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lusitano GC - Imortal	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Praiense - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- FC Ferreiras
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.03.23	Ferreiras - Olhanense	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Juventude de Évora - Ferreiras	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Ferreiras - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Ferreiras	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Ferreiras - Rabo de Peixe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Ferreiras - Lusitano GC	2:0
Taça de Portugal
09.09.18	Ferreiras - Lusitano GC	0:1

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