Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 13

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lusitano GC		Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.5
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.58	3.56	6.33
	1.58	3.57	6.38
	1.51	3.6	6.2
	1.52	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	6.27 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
60%

Draw
25.3%

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitano GC's performance.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama Vidigueira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano GC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama Vidigueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Lusitano GC is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.12.23	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Imortal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Lusitano GC - Real SC	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lusitano GC - Serpa	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLT
- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.12.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Imortal	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Real SC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Louletano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:3
23.10.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lusitano GC	2:2

Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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