Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 16

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lusitano GC		Juventude de Évora

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.65	3.25
	2.4	2.65	3.3
	2.48	2.57	3.56
	2.43	2.62	3.3
	2.33	2.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	2.63 ↑ (2.62)	3.36 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
38.2%

Draw
34.7%

Juventude de Évora
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

35.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

35%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Juventude de Évora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lusitano GC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Lusitano GC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Juventude de Évora is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lusitano GC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.01.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Lusitano GC - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
10.12.23	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Imortal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWTW
- Juventude de Évora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.01.24	Juventude de Évora - Imortal	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Serpa - Juventude de Évora	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Juventude de Évora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Louletano - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.09.23	Juventude de Évora - Lusitano GC	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora	0:1
20.11.22	Juventude de Évora - Lusitano GC	1:2
05.12.20	Juventude de Évora - Lusitano GC	0:1

Lusitano GC - Juventude de Évora