Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Mineiro Aljustrelense

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.75
	1.5	3.6	5.1
	1.52	3.65	5.6
	1.61	3.84	5.95
	1.6	3.64	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	3.71 ↓ (3.82)	5.55 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
59%

Draw
24.6%

Mineiro Aljustrelense
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

14.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mineiro Aljustrelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano GC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineiro Aljustrelense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineiro Aljustrelense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Lusitano GC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aljustrelense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lusitano GC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.21	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Lusitano GC - Pinhalnovense	2:1 ✺
10.01.21	Lusitano GC - Olhanense	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTL
- Mineiro Aljustrelense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.02.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Amora	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Olhanense - Mineiro Aljustrelense	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Esperança de Lagos	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
13.01.21	Moura - Mineiro Aljustrelense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.26	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	✺

Lusitano GC - Mineiro Aljustrelense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide