Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Estrela (Evora)


	Lusitano GC		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.51	5.11
	1.7	3.51	5.11	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.66	3.4	4.89
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	4.94 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
54.7%

Draw
26.8%

Amora
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.8%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Lusitano GC - Amora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martins D. (G) 10. Aguas M. 11. Almara F. 6. Andrade M. 8. Baptista T. 53. Carvalho E. 9. Lopes D. 37. Monteiro R. 25. Pinto J. 4. Santana C. 77. Tipote L.	31. Azevedo D. (G) 8. Antunes M. 11. Buby 27. Camara B. 28. Cruz H. 25. Duque T. 17. Furtado E. 23. Marques F. 22. Marques J. 9. Oliveira J. 16. Teixeira P.
Substitutes
14. Cande B. 30. Davou S. 29. Isnaba G. 99. Lucao 12. Marcelo Valverde (G) 5. Palancha T. 23. Pereira F. 21. Soares M. 17. Vicente G.	49. Costinha 95. Diego (G) 84. Gustavo Almeida 13. Lopes M. 7. Lopes M. 18. Quinaz Pereira M. P. A. 71. Semedo D. 21. Traore B. 37. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Teixeira P. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Baptista T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Teixeira P. ↓, Gustavo Almeida ↑,
54', Duque T. 🟨,
57', Tipote L. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
64', Furtado E. ↓, Quinaz Pereira M. P. A. ↑,
68', Baptista T. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
68', Lopes D. ↓, Lucao ↑,
71', Marques J. ↓, Lopes M. ↑,
71', Buby ↓, Semedo D. ↑,
78', Marques F. ↓, Costinha ↑,
82', Aguas M. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
82', Carvalho E. ↓, Cande B. ↑,
85', Duque T. 🟨,
88', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 3.

Lusitano GC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amora is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lusitano GC is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lusitano GC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitano GC - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Atlético CP - Lusitano GC	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lusitano GC - Caldas	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWTW
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Amora - Covilhã	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Amora - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Académica Coimbra - Amora	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Belenenses - Amora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1
04.10.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.05.25	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2
04.05.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
19.01.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:1
25.08.24	Amora - Lusitano GC	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.21	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:2

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