Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos		Vila Cortez do Mondego

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.25	11
	1.15	6.4	9.5
	1.15	5.4	19
	1.16	6.98	20.59
	1.17	6.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.42)	6.45 ↑ (4.4)	14.62 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
79.5%

Draw
14.3%

Vila Cortez do Mondego
6.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.8%

17.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitano de Vildemoinhos's performance.

Vila Cortez do Mondego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Cortez do Mondego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Cortez do Mondego than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Cortez do Mondego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Cortez do Mondego is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vila Cortez do Mondego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lusitano de Vildemoinhos is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Sanjoanense - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	3:0 ✺
24.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
20.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Águeda	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Canelas - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
10.02.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWLW
- Vila Cortez do Mondego
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Castro Daire	0:1 ✺
13.02.21	Castro Daire - Vila Cortez do Mondego	2:2 ✺
10.02.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:3 ✺
07.02.21	Beira-Mar - Vila Cortez do Mondego	3:0 ✺
31.01.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.02.21	Vila Cortez do Mondego - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	0:3

Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Vila Cortez do Mondego

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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