The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanjoanense 58%
Draw 26.5%
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.9%
22%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
12.2%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanjoanense's form might have worsened.
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanjoanense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano de Vildemoinhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Sanjoanense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sanjoanense have a series of home games.
In this match Sanjoanense is certain favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
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