Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Lusitânia		Vizela

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.1	2.32
	3.47	2.74	2.40	Watch
	3.02	3.13	2.37	Watch
	3.14	3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)	3.01 ↓ (3.45)	2.36 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
29.7%

Draw
30.9%

Vizela
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lusitânia - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: Vizela will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vizela will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo M. (G) 28. Mesquita T. (C) 4. Collard D. 5. Silverio 16. Rocha L. 6. Alhassan I. 8. Tokinho Doria 11. Pereira M. 27. Fabinho 12. Arsenio 9. Silva J.	1. Gomis A. (G) 40. Italo Henrique 4. Rhyner J. 6. Jota Goncalves (C) 11. Thio 22. Busnic A. 24. Morschel H. 5. Moha Moukhliss 7. Loppy D. 9. Manu 17. Tavares M.
Substitutes
74. Braga G. 29. Cerveira T. 20. Do Marcolino F. 21. Joao Vasco 80. Manel 19. Palacios A. 23. Ribeiro M. (G) 88. Teixeira M. 77. Tiago Dias	66. Bamba K. 8. Bastunov A. 20. Godwin O. 55. Hristov A. 29. Kitala Y. 14. Pierre L. 25. Ruly (G) 37. Sampaio J. 33. Schutte R.
Coaches
Miguel Pedro	Sousa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Morschel H. ⚽,
37', Rhyner J. 🟨,
45+3', Tavares M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
49', Rocha L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Collard D. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
67', Manu ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
76', Arsenio ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
76', Silva J. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
78', Busnic A. ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
78', Tavares M. ↓, Godwin O. ↑,
80', Pierre L. 🟨,
87', Alhassan I. ↓, Braga G. ↑,
90', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
90+1', Fabinho ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
90+5', Moha Moukhliss 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vizela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Lusitânia - Resende	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Feirense - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Castrense - Lusitânia	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Vizela - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sintrense - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Vizela - Lusitânia	0:1

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