The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chaves 37.8%
Draw 32.3%
Vizela 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
29%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
29.3%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.
Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vizela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vizela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Chaves - Vizela Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 22. Muscat Z. 33. Simoes T. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 19. Tiago Almeida 8. Pinho P. 97. Joao Teixeira 30. Kusso D. 27. Esajas R. 17. Roberto 18. Pereira H.
1. Gomis A. (G) 21. Ramos R. 37. Sampaio J. 6. Jota Goncalves 4. Rhyner J. 17. Tavares M. 24. Morschel H. 5. Moha Moukhliss 7. Loppy D. 11. Thio 29. Kitala Y.
Substitutes
34. Alves R. 15. Carraca 23. Gudzulic M. (G) 5. Kiko 20. Ktatau 9. Milovanovic U. 7. Paulo Victor 10. Pina R. 21. Wellington Carvalho
8. Bastunov A. 26. Beirao R. 70. Gora B. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 14. Pierre L. 25. Ruly (G) 33. Schutte R. 92. Souza P. (G)
Coaches
Martins F.
Sousa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ramos R. ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
30', Sampaio J. 🟨,
31', Esajas R. 🟨,
34', Esajas R. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
45+6', Sampaio J. 🟨,
45+8', Morschel H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kitala Y. ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
51', Morschel H. 🟨,
62', Kusso D. ↓, Kiko ↑,
62', Muscat Z. ↓, Carraca ↑,
62', Joao Teixeira ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Roberto ⚽,
71', Tiago Almeida ↓, Ktatau ↑,
73', Loppy D. ↓, Hristov A. ↑,
81', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
82', Thio ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
90+1', Pierre L. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.
Chaves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Vizela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vizela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Watch
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Vozinha (G) 
Muscat Z. 
Simoes T. 
Kusso D. 
Esajas R. 
Gomis A. (G) 
Rhyner J. 
Morschel H. 
Loppy D. 
Gudzulic M. (G) 
Ktatau 
Bastunov A. 
Gora B. 
Pierre L. 
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