Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 28 June 2026, SundayLocation: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)
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Luverdense |
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Ceilândia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.20 |
4.80 |
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 |
1.71 |
3.15 |
4.80 |
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 |
1.75 |
3.25 |
5.05 |
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 |
1.73 |
3.11 |
5.34 |
 Watch |
 |
1.73 |
3.15 |
4.70 |
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 |
1.75 |
3.26 |
5.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.62) |
3.19 ↓
(3.5) |
4.99 ↑
(4.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luverdense
53% | Draw
28.7% | Ceilândia
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)The chances for Ceilândia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Luverdense - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 0 - 1, Julen ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 1, Danrlei Santos (Own goal),
Preview
First leg result: 2-1.Luverdense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ceilândia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Luverdense is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Luverdense - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 20.06.26 | Ceilândia - Luverdense | 1:2 | | 05.07.25 | Ceilândia - Luverdense | 1:0 | | 10.05.25 | Luverdense - Ceilândia | 2:2 | | Brazilian Copa Verde | | | 19.03.17 | Luverdense - Ceilândia | 3:1 | | 04.03.17 | Ceilândia - Luverdense | 0:1 |
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