Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Goiânia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.45	3.8	6.5
	1.62	3.65	5.75
	1.68	3.38	5.27	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.43	3.72	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)	5.82 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
58.5%

Draw
25.8%

Goiânia
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Goiânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiânia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Luverdense - Goiânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Goiânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luverdense is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Goianésia - Luverdense	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ceilândia - Luverdense	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Porto Velho - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLWT
- Goiânia EC
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Goiânia - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Goianésia - Goiânia	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Mixto - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Goiânia - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.25	Goiânia - Luverdense	0:1

Luverdense - Goiânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide