Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Avazashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	20:00	Soccernet TV
Luxembourg	19:00	RTL, RTL


	Luxembourg U21		Estonia U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.60	4.10
	1.78	3.85	4.25
	1.79	3.95	4.32
	1.74	3.88	4.3	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.2
	1.69	3.84	4.4	Watch
	1.73	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.79 ↓ (3.95)	4.22 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luxembourg U21
53.5%

Draw
24.5%

Estonia U21
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luxembourg U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Estonia U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Luxembourg U21 - Estonia U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Heck F. (G) 17. Andrade Brites C. Jeunesse Esch 13. Tavares Heleno H. 15. Thelen E. 8. Afonso H. 7. Jonathans D. Augsburg 14. Carolei L. Kaerjeng 6. Englaro I. (C) Dudelange 16. Irigoyen C. Illertissen 10. Elshan L. Jeunesse Esch 22. Benslaiman M.	22. Purg G. (G) Nomme Utd 7. Lohmatov A. FK Pohronie 19. Pihela O. Flora 6. Vaher A. Harju JK Laagri 4. Veering R. (C) Flora 17. Borolinstsikov A. Kalju 23. Lehtmets G. Levadia 8. Siht R. Kalju 3. Smirnov R. Paide Linnameeskond 9. Jepihhin D. Trencin 20. Agaptsev S. Narva
Substitutes
4. Alves Oliveira Rodrigues O. 12. Campos N. (G) Kaerjeng 19. Ferreira A. Victoria Rosport 11. Hoxha F. Progres Niedercorn 3. Lohei F. Eintracht Trier 20. Lommel A. RFC Seraing 18. Pinheiro dos Santos M. Rumelange 21. Roerstrand G. 2. Torres Y. FC 08 Homburg	10. Eerme K. Harju JK Laagri 2. Filatov A. Narva 14. Hoim O. Paide Linnameeskond 18. Jurisoo T. Kuressaare 16. Kriis K. Harju JK Laagri 21. Limberg M. Parnu JK Vaprus 1. Nomm O. (G) Parnu JK Vaprus 13. Pajo T. Parnu JK Vaprus 15. Piil R. Kuressaare
Coaches
Peters R.	Sarajarvi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Lohmatov A. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Tavares Heleno H. ⚽, Elshan L. (A),
40', Smirnov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Afonso H. ↓, Roerstrand G. ↑,
46', Smirnov R. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
46', Agaptsev S. ↓, Eerme K. ↑,
50', Lehtmets G. 🟨,
56', Eerme K. 🟨,
60', Jepihhin D. ↓, Kriis K. ↑,
63', Carolei L. ↓, Pinheiro dos Santos M. ↑,
67', Vaher A. 🟨,
76', Lehtmets G. ↓, Pajo T. ↑,
80', Elshan L. ↓, Alves Oliveira Rodrigues O. ↑,
80', Jonathans D. ↓, Torres Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Thelen E. ⚽, Benslaiman M. (A),
90+1', Benslaiman M. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Englaro I. ⚽, Irigoyen C. (A),

Preview

Estonia U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Luxembourg U21 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Luxembourg U21 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luxembourg U21
UEFA Euro U21
03.10.26	France U21 - Luxembourg U21	3:2 ✺
30.09.26	Faroe Islands U21 - Luxembourg U21	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Switzerland U21 - Luxembourg U21	5:0 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Kosovo U21 - Luxembourg U21	0:0 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
26.03.26	Luxembourg U21 - France U21	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLTL
- Estonia U21
UEFA Euro U21
29.09.26	Estonia U21 - France U21	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Estonia U21 - Faroe Islands U21	1:2 ✺
Baltic Cup U21
07.06.26	Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21	2:2 ✺
05.06.26	Latvia U21 - Estonia U21	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Switzerland U21 - Estonia U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
10.10.25	Estonia U21 - Luxembourg U21	2:2

Luxembourg U21 - Estonia U21