Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Luzern II		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	3.16	3.79	2
	3.16	3.79	2.01
	3.02	3.88	1.95
	3.05	3.8	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.69)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern II
30.1%

Draw
24.2%

Étoile Carouge
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

24.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

23.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heller D. (G) 3. Freimann B. H. 5. Owusu T. 4. Urtic M. 2. Freimann B. M. 6. Rupp N. 8. Winkler L. 10. Dantas Fernandes R. (C) 11. Berisha E. 9. Jaiteh M. 7. Breedijk L.	1. Antonio S. (G) 13. Zoukit N. 14. Hysenaj F. 7. Correia O. 10. Caslei B. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 24. Kursner R. 80. Oberli B. 6. El Jaouhari M. 4. Magnin M. 25. Felder V.
Substitutes
13. Dermaku D. 14. Haag S. 18. Joao Pedro (G) 15. Polat B. 20. Walker M. 16. Wicht N. G. E. 17. Zimmermann M.	21. Fernandez R. 5. Mulliqi B. 27. Munishi H. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 19. Ombala L. 26. Taillefert R. 23. Veloso M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

Recent matches Luzern II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Étoile in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Luzern II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luzern II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Luzern II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
18.10.23	Cham - Luzern II	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Luzern II - Bavois	4:3 ✺
07.10.23	Bulle - Luzern II	4:4 ✺
30.09.23	Luzern II - Paradiso	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	St. Gallen II - Luzern II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
18.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Biel-Bienne	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Lugano II - Étoile Carouge	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Servette U21 - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
27.05.23	Étoile Carouge - Luzern II	6:0
19.11.22	Luzern II - Étoile Carouge	5:1

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