Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Luzern II		Rapperswil-Jona

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.9	2.52
	2.34	3.96	2.46
	2.32	3.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.03)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)	2.48 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern II
39.2%

Draw
23.6%

Rapperswil-Jona
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luzern II's form might have worsened.

Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapperswil-Jona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luzern II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heller D. (G) 3. Haag S. 5. Willimann M. 4. Urtic M. 2. Freimann B. M. 6. Rupp N. 8. Winkler L. 10. Dantas Fernandes R. 11. Bieri M. (C) 9. Jaiteh M. 7. Breedijk L.	1. Steffen N. (G) 23. Pousa R. 24. Harperink T. 21. Iapichino D. 3. Morgado B. 25. Yesilcayir E. (C) 70. Schmidt J. 7. Tia E. 8. Saliji R. 39. Djorkaeff O. 27. Volkart D.
Substitutes
16. Berisha E. 18. Joao Pedro (G) 20. Meyer S. 12. Vogel E. 14. Walker M. 15. Wicht N. G. E. 17. Zimmermann M.	12. Herter N. 6. Kasongo S. 11. Konan C. 22. Mulaj A. (G) 9. Pinga A. 10. Ribeiro A. 20. Vasic N.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Luzern II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luzern II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
13.09.23	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Young Boys II - Luzern II	3:4 ✺
02.09.23	Luzern II - Zurich II	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Kriens - Luzern II	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Luzern II - Basel II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTW
- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Cup
16.09.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Yverdon	1:0 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
09.09.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Basel II - Rapperswil-Jona	3:2 ✺
30.08.23	Lugano II - Rapperswil-Jona	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Biel-Bienne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
29.04.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Luzern II	4:3

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