Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Lučko		Vrbovec

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	6
	1.32	4.95	7.04
	1.32	4.5	7.5
	1.33	5.05	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.88 ↓ (5)	6.94 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lučko
68.3%

Draw
18.6%

Vrbovec
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

11.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lučko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vrbovec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lučko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrbovec than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vrbovec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lučko - Vrbovec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lučko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lučko is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lučko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lučko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lučko Zagreb
Croatian 3 HNL Center
05.05.21	Maksimir - Lučko	6:1 ✺
01.05.21	Lučko - HAŠK	2:1 ✺
17.04.21	Vrapče - Lučko	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Lučko - Trnje Zagreb	0:1 ✺
08.04.21	Karlovac - Lučko	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW
- NK Vrbovec
Croatian 3 HNL Center
05.05.21	Vrbovec - Segesta	3:0 ✺
21.04.21	Bistra - Vrbovec	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Zagorec Krapina - Vrbovec	1:0 ✺
07.04.21	Vrbovec - Gaj Mače	3:2 ✺
03.04.21	Vrbovec - Maksimir	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.01.18	Lučko - Vrbovec	5:1

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