Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Lysekloster Family Arena (Lysekloster)


	Lysekloster		Notodden

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.15
	2.95	3.35	2.10
	2.83	3.73	2.31
	2.8	3.66	2.24	Watch
	2.62	3.30	2.20
	2.80	3.42	2.22	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lysekloster
32.8%

Draw
26.2%

Notodden
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lysekloster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lysekloster than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lysekloster - Notodden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergslid F. (G) 3. Ankerstjerne N. 32. Bolso J. 7. Edvardsen J. 8. Hildal T. 4. Kongelf K. 33. Mvuka B. 6. Ovreberg T. V. 10. Tufta D. (C) 30. Vagen J. 5. Valland J.	1. Solas S. O. (G) 32. Andersen J. 20. Bjerkan B. 8. Jorgensen S. 17. Kalstad A. 9. Leandersson E. 3. Osen H. H. (C) 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
19. Bonabandi K. H. 11. Brattreit E. 23. Dahle Fagerlie L. 9. Johnsen E. 2. Konstali J. 25. Lie J. (G) 17. Nakken V. 18. Nordvold Lunde J. 24. Vik S.	5. Ahmed M. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 6. Larsen S. 22. Nordbo T. 7. Sersland A. 19. Svarstad S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Wenneberg M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Vagen J. ↓, Nordvold Lunde J. ↑,
61', Kongelf K. 🟨,
63', Ankerstjerne N. ↓, Konstali J. ↑,
63', Brattreit E. ↓, Mvuka B. ↑,
76', Edvardsen J. ↓, Johnsen E. ↑,
78', Leandersson E. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
78', Svendby C. ↓, Larsen S. ↑,
83', Kalstad A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Ahmed M. ⚽,
88', Ahmed M. 🟨,
90', Wenneberg M. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
90', Pettersen A. ↓, Sersland A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).

Lysekloster is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Notodden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Notodden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lysekloster won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lysekloster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35
12	Lysekloster	22	3	6	13	26:48	-22	15

Last Results with these Odds

Notodden - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lysekloster IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
31.05.26	Kvik Halden - Lysekloster	4:0 ✺
25.05.26	Lysekloster - Arendal	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Træff - Lysekloster	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Lysekloster - Pors	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Bjarg - Lysekloster	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
31.05.26	Notodden - Jerv	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Notodden - Kvik Halden	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vidar - Notodden	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.08.25	Notodden - Lysekloster	0:2
31.05.25	Lysekloster - Notodden	0:0
24.08.24	Lysekloster - Notodden	1:2
28.04.24	Notodden - Lysekloster	1:1

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