Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pors Stadion (Porsgrunn)


	Pors		Notodden

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.55	2.72
	2.28	3.6	2.77
	2.27	3.7	2.76	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.7
	2.24	3.42	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.41)	3.5 ↓ (3.67)	2.74 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pors
40.6%

Draw
26.1%

Notodden
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pors than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Pors - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hagen P. (G) 8. Bakeng-Rogne A. 6. Dahlby J. 5. Garstad T. 25. Gayi E. (C) 26. Henriksrud O. 9. Johnsen O. 7. Meen T. 30. Pllana R. 20. Riise N. 4. Svarteberg K.	1. Solas S. O. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 17. Kalstad A. 9. Leandersson E. 3. Osen H. H. 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
55. Bjornhaug Remy A. 31. Bruu M. 17. Gisa E. 14. Kimerud F. S. 27. Lindvig J. 15. Mauset M. 10. Mladenovic S. 11. Seim J. 24. Vassend S. E. (G)	5. Ahmed M. 32. Andersen J. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 6. Larsen S. 7. Sersland A. 19. Svarstad S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Leandersson E. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Bjerkan B. ⚽,
41', Garstad T. 🟨,
44', Pettersen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Henriksrud O. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Meen T. ⚽,
67', Leandersson E. ↓, Larsen S. ↑,
74', Meen T. ↓, Seim J. ↑,
74', Svarteberg K. ↓, Kimerud F. S. ↑,
74', Dahlby J. ↓, Mauset M. ↑,
80', Svendby C. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
87', Bjerkan B. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
87', Kalstad A. ↓, Sersland A. ↑,
87', Garstad T. ↓, Lindvig J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pors won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35
9	Pors	22	7	5	10	28:31	-3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pors Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.05.26	Lysekloster - Pors	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Pors - Sotra	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sandviken - Pors	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pors - Jerv	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Brattvåg - Pors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWLL
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.05.26	Notodden - Kvik Halden	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vidar - Notodden	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Notodden - Bjarg	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Arendal - Notodden	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Notodden - Træff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.10.25	Pors - Notodden	2:2
03.05.25	Notodden - Pors	2:1
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Notodden - Pors	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Pors - Notodden	0:2
Club Friendly
18.02.22	Notodden - Pors	5:1
22.02.19	Notodden - Pors	6:0
Norwegian NM Cup
18.04.18	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ET

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