Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.95	1.72
	3.8	3.67	1.92
	3.96	4.12	1.72	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.85
	4.12	3.86	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.83)	3.78 ↓ (4)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
24%

Draw
24.3%

Jerv
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

23.2%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.8%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Notodden - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solas S. O. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 17. Kalstad A. 6. Larsen S. 3. Osen H. H. 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.	23. Agelin T. 77. Alanko S. 15. Almen M. (C) 16. Andersen D. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 6. Naustdal B. 18. Richstad A. 19. Strand H. 42. Syvertsen M. 7. Syvertsen P.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 32. Andersen J. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 9. Leandersson E. 7. Sersland A. 19. Svarstad S.	25. Abusdal I. 1. Angelini V. (G) 11. Badjie K. 8. Hellichius F. 41. Kussl L. 4. Sanchez J. 9. Simba P. 21. Strangstad S. 10. Wenaas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Alanko S. ↓, Wenaas V. ↑,
40', Jorgensen S. 🟨,
45', Naustdal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Larsen S. 🟨,
64', Larsen S. ↓, Leandersson E. ↑,
66', Kolve E. ↓, Simba P. ↑,
66', Syvertsen M. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
79', Strand H. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Syvertsen P. ↓, Abusdal I. ↑,
80', Kalstad A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 0.

Notodden has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jerv is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jerv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jerv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Notodden won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	22	16	4	2	47:21	26	52
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.26	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Notodden - Kvik Halden	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vidar - Notodden	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Notodden - Bjarg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.05.26	Jerv - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Arendal - Jerv	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Jerv - Bjarg	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Jerv - Træff	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.09.25	Jerv - Notodden	2:2
25.05.25	Notodden - Jerv	2:3
19.10.24	Jerv - Notodden	0:0
29.06.24	Notodden - Jerv	0:1
Club Friendly
07.02.20	Jerv - Notodden	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.09.19	Notodden - Jerv	1:1
22.04.19	Jerv - Notodden	3:1

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