Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)


	Lübeck		Teutonia Ottensen

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.4
	1.57	4.33	4.75
	1.6	4.25	4.93
	1.56	4.15	4.86
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.1	4.6
	1.57	4.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	4.19 ↑ (3.84)	4.83 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
59.1%

Draw
21.9%

Teutonia Ottensen
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lübeck's performance.

Teutonia Ottensen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teutonia Ottensen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lübeck that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teutonia Ottensen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Weidlich K. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Ajani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
77', 1 - 2, Drinkuth F. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Weidlich K. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Denis N. I. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Lübeck is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Teutonia Ottensen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lübeck is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
29.09.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Meppen - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Jeddeloh - Lübeck	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Lübeck - Bremer SV	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLL
- Teutonia Ottensen
German Regionalliga North
29.09.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Jeddeloh	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Bremer SV - Teutonia Ottensen	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Todesfelde - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Drochtersen Assel	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	SC Weiche-08 - Teutonia Ottensen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
15.04.23	Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	2:3
09.10.22	Teutonia Ottensen - Lübeck	0:2
05.12.21	Teutonia Ottensen - Lübeck	0:3
18.09.21	Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	0:1

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