Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 10

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)


	Lübeck		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.53
	5	4.33	1.55
	4.88	4.27	1.54
	4.94	4.15	1.53
	4.8	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↓ (5.44)	4.21 ↓ (4.33)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
18.9%

Draw
21.7%

TSV Havelse
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.9%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

21.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Lübeck - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Paldino L. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Drinkuth F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Paldino L. ⚽,
62', Paldino L. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 2, Minz D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 1.

Lübeck has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havelse in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Havelse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Havelse is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
14.09.24	Meppen - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Jeddeloh - Lübeck	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Lübeck - Bremer SV	1:4 ✺
23.08.24	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
15.09.24	TSV Havelse - Jeddeloh	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bremer SV - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	SC Weiche-08 - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
14.05.23	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	3:1
05.11.22	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	2:2
20.10.19	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	3:1
25.03.19	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	3:1
16.09.18	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	2:1
30.04.18	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	1:1
29.10.17	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	0:4

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