Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Málaga		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.59	3.45	6.7
	1.6	3.45	6.7
	1.36	3.7	7
	1.56	3.55	6.3
	1.56	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)	3.52 ↓ (3.86)	6.22 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
59.2%

Draw
26%

Alcoyano
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.9%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

23.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Málaga - Alcoyano Predictions

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. 22. Lorenzo D. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Valens J. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 16. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 3. Nieto S. 22. Garcia S. 6. Garcia I. 10. Aguero 5. Albisua H. 21. Lara J. A. 19. Raul A.
Substitutes
26. Cordero A. 14. Garcia V. 27. Jesus 13. Lopez C. (G) 12. Molina M. 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 32. Santaella M. 11. Villodres K. 9. Zuniga L.	7. Armental A. 18. Carbonell P. 15. Eteme G. 8. Juanan 17. Lopez S. 14. Monreal J. 1. Perales J. (G) 9. Pradera M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15).

Málaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Málaga - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barakaldo - Málaga	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Antequera - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Alcoyano - Melilla	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Alcoyano - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Granada B - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTT

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