Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Alcoyano		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.87	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.88
	1.89	3.02	4.88
	1.86	3.13	4.5
	1.88	3.15	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	4.32 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
49.4%

Draw
29.2%

Melilla
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.5%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcoyano's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcoyano - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 16. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 3. Nieto S. 11. Ganet P. 6. Garcia I. 21. Lara J. A. 8. Juanan 10. Aguero 19. Raul A.	13. Salcedo J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 22. Gnali J. 18. Siddiki O. 5. Masogo A. 8. Cotan A. 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D. 11. Vinicius Tanque
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 7. Armental A. 18. Carbonell P. 15. Eteme G. 25. Ferrero M. 22. Garcia S. 17. Lopez S. 14. Monreal J. 1. Perales J. (G) 9. Pradera M.	23. Cantarero O. 7. Garcia M. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Marchena A. 15. Martin D. 21. Mateo J. 2. Pepe Romero 24. Serrano J. (G) 3. Yuste A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcoyano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Alcoyano - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Granada B - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTT
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches