The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 48.1%
Draw 27%
Algeciras 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.5%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
27.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Algeciras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeciras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mérida AD - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 4. Bonaque M. 22. Climent M. 11. Doncel C. 21. Beneit R. 23. Busi 10. Juanjo 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.
13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 4. Spatz L. M. 5. Gaixas A. 11. Sanchez T. 23. Gomez J. 6. Montes E. 8. Turrillo I. 21. Celorio N. 10. Esteban Diego 7. Rodri
Substitutes
12. Beer J. 28. del Cerro S. 16. Garcia P. 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 3. Sergi 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G) 20. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.
22. Coch A. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 19. Illesca M. 14. Javi Alonso 17. Leiva A. 3. Merchan D. 2. Roldan R. 1. Venteo I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Esteban Diego 🟨,
36', Turrillo I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Beltran L. 🟨,
60', Turrillo I. ↓, Javi Alonso ↑,
60', Gomez J. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
64', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
72', Beltran L. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
72', Juanjo ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
76', Celorio N. ↓, Illesca M. ↑,
77', Beneit R. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Busi ⚽,
87', Busi ↓, Sergi ↑,
87', Doncel C. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
90+5', Garcia L. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2.
Mérida AD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Algeciras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Mérida AD will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.
Spain
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Juanpa (G) 
Garcia L. (G) 
Spatz L. M. 
Beer J. 
Mizzian M. 
Tiago Leal 
Wehbe Gonzalez C. A. 
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