Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4
	1.88	2.9	4
	1.95	3	4.33	Watch
	2.02	2.97	4.09
	1.97	3.1	4.41
	1.91	3.13	4.27
	1.92	3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	4.17 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
47.5%

Draw
30.5%

Atlético Baleares
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 14. Beneit R. 22. Bourdal T. 12. Falcon E. 21. Llacer L. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Acosta L. 15. Juanjo 16. Martin J. 9. Chuma 11. Mizzian M.	1. Vila R. (G) 2. Campabadal E. 22. Ofoli F. 14. Navarro D. 4. Zalaya A. 23. Ferroni L. 8. Ramon A. 10. Pastrana V. 18. Azeez M. 16. Rodriguez D. (C) 11. Rochina R.
Substitutes
17. Alvaro J. 20. Elejalde I. 19. Felipe 6. Gutierrez I. 8. Ndongo N. 3. Prada R. 7. Sandoval D. 10. Serra D. 13. Vicente D. (G)	17. Alarcon R. 12. Gonzalez R. 13. Lario J. (G) 7. Marong N. 20. Munoz P. 21. Nana 19. Shashoua A. 6. Villapalos A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Baleares is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Ibiza - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Mérida AD - Castellón	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 TWWTT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Antequera	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Málaga - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.05.21	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	1:0
18.04.21	Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD	2:1

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