Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)


	Mérida AD		Linense

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.75	3
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.42	2.88	3.29
	2.28	3.14	3.14
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.47)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
39.1%

Draw
31.4%

Linense
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

32.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

33.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Linense aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Mérida AD - Linense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Linense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.

Mérida AD has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Linense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Linense to win the game is with odds 3.37.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.02.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mérida AD - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leonesa - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.02.23	Linense - Linares Deportivo	2:3 ✺
29.01.23	Alcorcón - Linense	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Linense - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Córdoba - Linense	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Linense - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.22	Linense - Mérida AD	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.20	Linense - Mérida AD	0:0
08.09.19	Mérida AD - Linense	1:1
18.03.18	Mérida AD - Linense	2:0
29.10.17	Linense - Mérida AD	2:0
02.04.17	Mérida AD - Linense	5:1
06.11.16	Linense - Mérida AD	2:5

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